Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 19/10, 11:30

Prediction: Vincent Dullinger vs Florent Lagarrigue

Team pages: Vincent Dullinger · Florent Lagarrigue

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Vincent Dullinger Florent Lagarrigue
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Vincent Dullinger 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLLLW
Florent Lagarrigue 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vincent Dullinger 1466 · Florent Lagarrigue 1536
Vincent DullingerFlorent Lagarrigue
Our model40%60%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Florent Lagarrigue (rating 1466 vs 1536).
  • Florent Lagarrigue is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Vincent DullingerFlorent Lagarrigue
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay – 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.4-0.7
Games (G-P)9.3-10.910.2-8.4
Aces22.7
Double faults2.43.3
1st serve %60.3%70.4%
Break %45.8%35.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vincent Dullinger

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Arian Barbic
M25 Sarreguemines
2-0 12-6 W
12/10 Filip Krolo
M15 Offenbach
0-2 7-13 L
07/10 Jakub Filip
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/09 Arjun Rathi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
09/09 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Budapest
0-2 9-13 L
08/09 Jure Siftar
M15 Budapest
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Bruno Fernandez
M25 Meerbusch
1-1 10-7 W
19/08 Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen
0-2 8-13 L
09/08 Maxime Chazal
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 2-12 L
08/08 Julien Penzlin
M15 Frankfurt
2-1 14-12 W

Florent Lagarrigue

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Martin Simon
M25 Sarreguemines
2-0 12-6 W
19/09 Dmitry Bessonov
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
18/09 Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
17/09 Daniel Khazime
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 10-10 W
28/08 Adrien Burdet
M25 Lausanne
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Johan Nikles
M25 Lausanne
2-0 13-8 W
24/08 Loris Gander
M25 Lausanne
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Jarno Ethan Peterhans
M25 Lausanne
2-0 12-2 W
20/05 Raphael Perot
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
18/05 Yannick Baluska
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vincent Dullinger vs Florent Lagarrigue?

Our model gives 52% to Florent Lagarrigue, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.