Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 19/10, 11:00
Prediction: Vasco Leote Prata vs Joao Domingues
Team pages: Joao Domingues
Prediction summary
Winner
Vasco Leote Prata
Joao Domingues
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vasco Leote Prata
6-4 (W-L)
Joao Domingues
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vasco Leote Prata 1493 · Joao Domingues 1426
| Vasco Leote Prata | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vasco Leote Prata (rating 1493 vs 1426).
- Vasco Leote Prata is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Vasco Leote Prata | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.1 | 10.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 64% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vasco Leote Prata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Piotr Matuszewski Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Ziga Sesko M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Yannick Castelnuovo M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Tyler Stice M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 17/09 | John Echeverria M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Ryan Colby M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Giulio Perego M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Pierre Delage M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Frazier Rengifo M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
Joao Domingues
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vasco Leote Prata vs Joao Domingues?
Our model gives 61% to Joao Domingues, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.