Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 19/10, 11:00
Prediction: Andrej Martin vs Alexander Ritschard
Team pages: Andrej Martin · Alexander Ritschard
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrej Martin
Alexander Ritschard
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Andrej Martin
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Ritschard
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrej Martin 1509 · Alexander Ritschard 1623
| Andrej Martin | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Ritschard (rating 1509 vs 1623).
- Alexander Ritschard is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andrej Martin | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.3 | 12.8-7.2 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 81% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrej Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Joao Domingues Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Jonas Gundacker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Manuel Plunger M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/08 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Alexander Ritschard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Joao Dinis Silva Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Miguel Damas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Samuel Arauzo Martinez M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Iannis Miletich M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrej Martin vs Alexander Ritschard?
Our model gives 69% to Alexander Ritschard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.