Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 18/10, 19:00
Prediction: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Zach Stephens
Team pages: Karl Kazuma Lee · Zach Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Kazuma Lee
Zach Stephens
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Kazuma Lee
6-4 (W-L)
Zach Stephens
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Kazuma Lee 1523 · Zach Stephens 1552
| Karl Kazuma Lee | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Karl Kazuma Lee dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 42.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Karl Kazuma Lee | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9 | 11.1-9.1 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 58.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Kazuma Lee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Nile Ung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Jack Anthrop M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Stefan Cooper M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Marco Alvarez M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Rudy Quan M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Cesar Cruz M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Zach Stephens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Piotr Siekanowicz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Diego Herrera UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/09 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/09 | James Lorenzetti UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Kazuma Lee vs Zach Stephens?
Our model gives 63% to Karl Kazuma Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.