Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 20/10, 11:00
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Elmer Moller
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Elmer Moller
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Elmer Moller
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
6-4 (W-L)
Elmer Moller
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1520 · Elmer Moller 1517
| Tristan Boyer | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Elmer Moller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.6 | 13.3-13.4 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Edward Winter Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Andre Ilagan US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Elmer Moller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Iliyan Radulov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Grigor Dimitrov Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Elmer Moller?
Our model gives 53% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.