Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 20/10, 11:00
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Max Alcala Gurri · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
8-2 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1594 · Andy Andrade 1562
| Max Alcala Gurri | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.4 | 12.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Toby Samuel Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 59% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.