Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 20/10, 11:00
Prediction: Raul Brancaccio vs Calvin Hemery
Team pages: Raul Brancaccio · Calvin Hemery
Prediction summary
Winner
Raul Brancaccio
Calvin Hemery
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Raul Brancaccio
4-6 (W-L)
Calvin Hemery
10-0 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Raul Brancaccio
1–0
Calvin Hemery
(1 last)
- 03 Feb2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raul Brancaccio 1466 · Calvin Hemery 1583
| Raul Brancaccio | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvin Hemery (rating 1466 vs 1583).
- Calvin Hemery is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Raul Brancaccio 1–0 Calvin Hemery (1).
Statistics
| Raul Brancaccio | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.3 | 12.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 77% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Raul Brancaccio 1 – 0 Calvin Hemery (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raul Brancaccio 1–0 Calvin Hemery
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Challenger Cesenatico | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raul Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Filippo Romano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Hynek Barton Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Jaume Munar Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 01/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Thiago Seyboth Wild US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Calvin Hemery
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/10 | Marlon Vankan M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Florent Bax M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Louis Van Herck M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raul Brancaccio vs Calvin Hemery?
Our model gives 65% to Calvin Hemery, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.