Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 20/10, 11:00
Prediction: Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira
Team pages: Marco Trungelliti · Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Trungelliti
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
24.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Trungelliti
5-5 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Trungelliti
1–1
Tiago Pereira
(2 last)
- 08 Sept1-2 14-16L
- 30 Sept2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Trungelliti 1543 · Tiago Pereira 1525
| Marco Trungelliti | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marco Trungelliti | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-11.9 | 12.7-13.9 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.9
H2H · Marco Trungelliti 1 – 1 Tiago Pereira (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Trungelliti 1–1 Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/26 Challenger Seville | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 30/09/25 Challenger Braga | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Trungelliti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Martin Landaluce ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/09 | Sean Cuenin Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Trungelliti vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 67% to Marco Trungelliti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.