Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 18/10, 19:00
Prediction: Kelly Keller vs Marley Lambert
Team pages: Kelly Keller · Marley Lambert
Prediction summary
Winner
Kelly Keller
Marley Lambert
Estimated games
18.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kelly Keller
4-6 (W-L)
Marley Lambert
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kelly Keller
1–0
Marley Lambert
(1 last)
- 26 Aug2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kelly Keller 1500 · Marley Lambert 1505
| Kelly Keller | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kelly Keller 1–0 Marley Lambert (1).
- Note: Kelly Keller makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Marley Lambert makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Kelly Keller | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-9.8 | 8.1-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 50.6% | 58% |
| Break % | 65.1% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.3
H2H · Kelly Keller 1 – 0 Marley Lambert (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kelly Keller 1–0 Marley Lambert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/26 UTR Pro Newport Beach Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelly Keller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Iryna Shymanovich UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Anastasia Lizunova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Kamilla Bartone W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Andrea Roots W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 03/09 | Johanna Silva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kristina Belkova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Kailey Evans UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Maria Shmakova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Marley Lambert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Matilde Magrini UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Judit Hernandez Miranda UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Kristina Nordikyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/10 | Savannah Schmitz UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Victoria Wang UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/09 | Maria P Ramos Garcia UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Olive Maunupau UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelly Keller vs Marley Lambert?
Our model gives 69% to Kelly Keller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

