Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 25/10, 18:00
Prediction: Tia Messerli vs Marley Lambert
Team pages: Tia Messerli · Marley Lambert
Prediction summary
Winner
Tia Messerli
Marley Lambert
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tia Messerli
6-4 (W-L)
Marley Lambert
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tia Messerli
1–1
Marley Lambert
(2 last)
- 04 Aug2-0 12-2W
- 08 Aug0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tia Messerli 1539 · Marley Lambert 1523
| Tia Messerli | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marley Lambert makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Tia Messerli | Marley Lambert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-8.5 | 9.9-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 52.4% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 49% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
H2H · Tia Messerli 1 – 1 Marley Lambert (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tia Messerli 1–1 Marley Lambert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/26 UTR Pro Newport Beach Women | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08/25 UTR Pro Newport Beach Women | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tia Messerli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Britney Chiu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Gabrielle Leslie UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Madelynn Ludwig UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Savannah Schmitz UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Mao Mushika W35 Redding |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Marley Lambert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Luana Avelar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Daniella Clara Suryapranata UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Matilde Magrini UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Judit Hernandez Miranda UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Kristina Nordikyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/10 | Savannah Schmitz UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Victoria Wang UTR Pro San Diego Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tia Messerli vs Marley Lambert?
Our model gives 64% to Tia Messerli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.