Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 21/10, 03:30
Prediction: Madelynn Ludwig vs Tia Messerli
Team pages: Madelynn Ludwig · Tia Messerli
Prediction summary
Winner
Madelynn Ludwig
Tia Messerli
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Madelynn Ludwig
2-8 (W-L)
Tia Messerli
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madelynn Ludwig 1436 · Tia Messerli 1465
| Madelynn Ludwig | Tia Messerli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Madelynn Ludwig makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Madelynn Ludwig | Tia Messerli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10.9 | 7.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 52.1% | 43.5% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madelynn Ludwig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Gabrielle Leslie UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Milana Tsulygina UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Elizabeth Fauchet UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Elizabeth Isyanov UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Katelynn Kock UTR Pro Columbus Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Carling Allaye-Chan UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Ares Teixido Garcia UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Kate Gardiner UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Marta Giglio UTR Pro Seattle Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Tia Messerli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Savannah Schmitz UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Mao Mushika W35 Redding |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Avery Nguyen W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Yulia Zhytelna W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 11/06 | Monika Ekstrand W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madelynn Ludwig vs Tia Messerli?
Our model gives 63% to Tia Messerli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.