Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 24/10, 19:30
Prediction: Patrycja Niewiadomska vs Anastasia Grechkina
Team pages: Patrycja Niewiadomska · Anastasia Grechkina
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrycja Niewiadomska
Anastasia Grechkina
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Patrycja Niewiadomska
6-4 (W-L)
Anastasia Grechkina
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrycja Niewiadomska 1445 · Anastasia Grechkina 1620
| Patrycja Niewiadomska | Anastasia Grechkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Grechkina (rating 1445 vs 1620).
- Anastasia Grechkina is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Patrycja Niewiadomska makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Patrycja Niewiadomska | Anastasia Grechkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.7 | 11.9-6.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrycja Niewiadomska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Zuzana Kudlackova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Gala Arangio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Marika Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Addy Rogin UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Avery Olsen UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Michaela Laki UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Anastasia Grechkina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Alexia Harmon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Lily Pradkin UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/06 | Emma Tutoveanu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Marika Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexia Harmon UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrycja Niewiadomska vs Anastasia Grechkina?
Our model gives 81% to Anastasia Grechkina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.