Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 18/10, 13:00
Prediction: Pedro Liborio vs Oleksii Krutykh
Team pages: Pedro Liborio · Oleksii Krutykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Liborio
Oleksii Krutykh
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Liborio
4-6 (W-L)
Oleksii Krutykh
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Liborio 1411 · Oleksii Krutykh 1524
| Pedro Liborio | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksii Krutykh (rating 1411 vs 1524).
- Oleksii Krutykh is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pedro Liborio | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-11.4 | 13.8-12.8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Liborio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 10/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/01 | Artem Dmytrenko UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 07/01 | Sachin Palta UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/01 | Andrew Gordon UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/12 | Deni Zmak UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/12 | Marshall Tutu UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/12 | Tomas Curras Abasolo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Oleksii Krutykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Milos Karol Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 11/10 | Diogo Marques Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Melios Efstathiou Davis Cup |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Liborio vs Oleksii Krutykh?
Our model gives 79% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.