Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 21/10, 20:30
Prediction: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Kosuke Nakanishi
Team pages: Karl Kazuma Lee · Kosuke Nakanishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Kazuma Lee
Kosuke Nakanishi
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Kazuma Lee
5-5 (W-L)
Kosuke Nakanishi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Kazuma Lee 1519 · Kosuke Nakanishi 1484
| Karl Kazuma Lee | Kosuke Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Karl Kazuma Lee | Kosuke Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.7 | 12.3-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Kazuma Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Pol Masafret Hernandez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Nile Ung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Jack Anthrop M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Stefan Cooper M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Marco Alvarez M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Rudy Quan M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Kosuke Nakanishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Pol Masafret Hernandez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Yamada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Quinn Snyder UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Kazuma Lee vs Kosuke Nakanishi?
Our model gives 64% to Karl Kazuma Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.