Tennis · M25 Sarreguemines · 18/10, 11:30
Prediction: Amaury Raynel vs Thomas Gerbaud
Team pages: Amaury Raynel · Thomas Gerbaud
Prediction summary
Winner
Amaury Raynel
Thomas Gerbaud
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Amaury Raynel
4-6 (W-L)
Thomas Gerbaud
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Amaury Raynel
1–0
Thomas Gerbaud
(1 last)
- 14 Jan2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amaury Raynel 1444 · Thomas Gerbaud 1497
| Amaury Raynel | Thomas Gerbaud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thomas Gerbaud (rating 1444 vs 1497).
- Head-to-head: Amaury Raynel 1–0 Thomas Gerbaud (1).
- Note: Thomas Gerbaud makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Amaury Raynel | Thomas Gerbaud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.3 | 11.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Amaury Raynel 1 – 0 Thomas Gerbaud (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amaury Raynel 1–0 Thomas Gerbaud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/26 M15 Bressuire | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amaury Raynel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Etienne Donnet M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Louis Van Herck M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Loann Massard M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Lenny Couturier M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Sam Bakker M15 Haren |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Samy Iraqi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/07 | Antoni Fabre M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Thomas Gerbaud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Jelle Sels M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sean Hodkin M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Victor Bonnet Eymard M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Frederic Schlossmann M25 Meerbusch |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Damien Salvestre M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Jules Auffray M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/08 | Tom Jonio M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Pijus Vaitiekunas M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Mac Visser M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Axel Huysmans M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amaury Raynel vs Thomas Gerbaud?
Our model gives 53% to Amaury Raynel.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.