Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 20/10, 04:30
Prediction: David Knesl vs Oskar Grzegorzewski
Team pages: Oskar Grzegorzewski
Prediction summary
Winner
David Knesl
Oskar Grzegorzewski
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
David Knesl
5-5 (W-L)
Oskar Grzegorzewski
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Knesl 1486 · Oskar Grzegorzewski 1394
| David Knesl | Oskar Grzegorzewski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours David Knesl (rating 1486 vs 1394).
- David Knesl is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Oskar Grzegorzewski makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| David Knesl | Oskar Grzegorzewski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.4 | 6.5-11.6 |
| Aces | – | 2.3 |
| Double faults | – | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | – | 57.2% |
| Break % | – | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Knesl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Daniel Bien UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Theo Coats UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-1 | 14-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Ondrej Valek UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Vojtech Vales UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Jacob Olar UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Riccardo Campagnola UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Aleksa Oparnica UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Valeriy Martishev UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Oskar Grzegorzewski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Wojciech Marek M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Victor Ryden M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 10/08 | Erik Gahnstrom M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tomas Lanik M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Andreas Messis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 13/05 | Heorhii Shylov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Jonah Braswell M25 Austin |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/11 | Henry Searle ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 30/10 | Zsombor Velcz ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Knesl vs Oskar Grzegorzewski?
Our model gives 56% to David Knesl, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.