Tennis · W35 Redding · 18/10, 03:15

Prediction: Nao Nishino vs Annika Penickova

Team pages: Nao Nishino · Annika Penickova

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Nao Nishino Annika Penickova
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nao Nishino 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWL
Annika Penickova 8-2 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nao Nishino 1617 · Annika Penickova 1524
Nao NishinoAnnika Penickova
Our model63%37%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nao Nishino (rating 1617 vs 1524).
  • Nao Nishino is in better form: 100% recent wins.

Statistics

Nao NishinoAnnika Penickova
Win %100%60%
Win % · Hard 100% (6) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)2-0.31.4-0.9
Games (G-P)13.1-6.911.9-9.5
Aces0.42.5
Double faults3.83.7
1st serve %65.5%66.1%
Break %55.2%51%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nao Nishino

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Vivian Wolff
W35 Redding
2-1 14-12 W
15/10 Berta Passola
W35 Redding
2-0 12-3 W
14/10 Abigail Rencheli
W35 Redding
2-0 13-6 W
13/10 Shihomi Li Xuan Leong
W35 Redding
2-0 12-6 W
23/08 Mayu Crossley
UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
22/08 Lilian Poling
UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
21/08 Lexie Weir
UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/08 Ellison Reynoldson
UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/08 Anastasia Akuginova
UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/08 Amiya Bowles
UTR Pro East Lansing Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Annika Penickova

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/10 Duru Soke
W35 Redding
2-0 12-6 W
15/10 Jenna Defalco
W35 Redding
2-1 18-13 W
13/10 Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Redding
2-0 12-3 W
10/10 Francesca Pace
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
08/10 Victoria Rodriguez
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/10 Jordyn Hazelitt
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
30/09 Akasha Urhobo
W100 Templeton
0-2 5-12 L
25/08 Martyna Kubka
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
09/08 Dana Guzman
W35 Southaven
0-2 6-12 L
08/08 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W35 Southaven
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nao Nishino vs Annika Penickova?

Our model gives 54% to Annika Penickova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.