Tennis · W35 Redding · 15/10, 17:00

Prediction: Jenna Defalco vs Annika Penickova

Team pages: Jenna Defalco · Annika Penickova

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Jenna Defalco Annika Penickova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jenna Defalco 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWLW
Annika Penickova 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jenna Defalco 1497 · Annika Penickova 1526
Jenna DefalcoAnnika Penickova
Our model46%54%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (5.4/match).
  • Note: Annika Penickova makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Jenna DefalcoAnnika Penickova
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.4-0.9
Games (G-P)10.2-10.111.7-9.7
Aces1.52.3
Double faults5.44
1st serve %62.3%63.2%
Break %64.5%50.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jenna Defalco

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Krisha Mahendran
W35 Redding
2-0 8-1 W
06/10 Janae Preston
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/09 Ekaterina Maklakova
W100 Templeton
1-2 13-16 L
22/09 Arina Bulatova
W50 Berkeley
1-2 9-13 L
21/09 Anita Sahdiieva
W50 Berkeley
2-0 12-8 W
30/08 Sofia Johnson
W50 Leiria
1-2 8-16 L
27/08 Isabel Pascual Montalvo
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Tian Jialin
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
21/08 Paula Cembranos
W15 Logrono
0-2 8-13 L
20/08 Daria Shubina
W15 Logrono
2-1 16-11 W

Annika Penickova

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Redding
2-0 12-3 W
10/10 Francesca Pace
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
1-2 16-19 L
08/10 Victoria Rodriguez
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/10 Jordyn Hazelitt
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
30/09 Akasha Urhobo
W100 Templeton
0-2 5-12 L
25/08 Martyna Kubka
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
09/08 Dana Guzman
W35 Southaven
0-2 6-12 L
08/08 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W35 Southaven
2-0 13-6 W
07/08 Jia-Jing Lu
W35 Southaven
2-0 12-8 W
06/08 Mayu Crossley
W35 Southaven
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jenna Defalco vs Annika Penickova?

Our model gives 64% to Annika Penickova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.