Tennis · W35 Redding · 15/10, 20:30
Prediction: Francesca Pace vs Duru Soke
Team pages: Francesca Pace · Duru Soke
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Pace
Duru Soke
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Pace
5-5 (W-L)
Duru Soke
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Pace 1552 · Duru Soke 1546
| Francesca Pace | Duru Soke | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Pace makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Francesca Pace | Duru Soke | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10 | 11.6-9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Pace
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Emma Kamper W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Annika Penickova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/10 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/10 | Kate Fakih W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Amelie Van Impe W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Anna Rogers W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Ariana Geerlings W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Duru Soke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Imogen Haddad W35 Redding |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/10 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 06/10 | Anna Pushkareva W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Connie Ma W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Madison Rose W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Melisa Ercan W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Mandegar Farzami W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Lan Mi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Selina Atay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Pace vs Duru Soke?
Our model gives 59% to Francesca Pace, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.