Tennis · W35 Redding · 15/10, 22:00
Prediction: Sydney Jara vs Lea Ma
Team pages: Sydney Jara · Lea Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Sydney Jara
Lea Ma
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sydney Jara
7-3 (W-L)
Lea Ma
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sydney Jara 1563 · Lea Ma 1516
| Sydney Jara | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney Jara (rating 1563 vs 1516).
Statistics
| Sydney Jara | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-6.8 | 9.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sydney Jara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Patsy Daughters W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Petja Drame UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Natalie Cinkova UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Lea Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Juliana Singeorzan W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Hina Inoue W50 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Linea Bajraliu W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Victoria Hu W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Alana Smith WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sydney Jara vs Lea Ma?
Our model gives 68% to Lea Ma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.