Tennis · W35 Redding · 17/10, 00:00

Prediction: Salma Drugdova vs Lea Ma

Team pages: Salma Drugdova · Lea Ma

Prediction summary
Winner
27% 73%
Salma Drugdova Lea Ma
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Salma Drugdova 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLLWWWWW
Lea Ma 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salma Drugdova 1514 · Lea Ma 1543
Salma DrugdovaLea Ma
Our model46%54%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Salma Drugdova makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Salma DrugdovaLea Ma
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard – 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.2-0.9
Games (G-P)12.1-10.69.9-8.5
Aces0.23.4
Double faults5.72.3
1st serve %59.9%69.8%
Break %51.9%41.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salma Drugdova

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Christasha McNeil
W35 Redding
2-0 12-2 W
14/10 Maria Aytoyan
W35 Redding
2-0 13-8 W
13/10 Mathilde Ngijol Carre
W35 Redding
2-0 12-5 W
01/10 Carlota Moreno
W15 Nashville
1-2 11-17 L
29/09 Eugenia Zozaya Menendez
W15 Nashville
2-1 16-11 W
17/08 Darya Velikova
W35 Krakow
0-2 11-14 L
27/07 Alexa Karatancheva
W75 Hechingen
0-2 10-13 L
20/07 Karolina Mrazikova
W100 Amstetten
1-2 18-16 L
19/07 Lena Ramharter
W100 Amstetten
2-1 12-8 W
14/07 Aneta Laboutkova
W75 Olomouc
0-2 6-12 L

Lea Ma

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Sydney Jara
W35 Redding
2-0 13-7 W
14/10 Juliana Singeorzan
W35 Redding
2-0 12-4 W
09/10 Madison Brengle
W50 Lexington
0-2 8-13 L
08/10 Hina Inoue
W50 Lexington
2-1 15-8 W
06/10 Linea Bajraliu
W50 Lexington
2-0 12-6 W
01/10 Tatjana Maria
W100 Templeton
0-2 3-12 L
30/09 Victoria Hu
W100 Templeton
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Katarina Zavatska
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Reese Brantmeier
W100 Landisville
0-2 2-12 L
25/07 Alana Smith
WTA Washington · Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salma Drugdova vs Lea Ma?

Our model gives 73% to Lea Ma, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.