Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 17/10, 16:30
Prediction: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matteo Martineau
Team pages: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · Matteo Martineau
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Matteo Martineau
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
7-3 (W-L)
Matteo Martineau
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1556 · Matteo Martineau 1563
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.2-11.3 | 13.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 33.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Jakub Paul Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Jie Cui Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Matteo Martineau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 21/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matteo Martineau?
Our model gives 61% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.