Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 15/10, 18:30
Prediction: Moise Kouame vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Moise Kouame · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Moise Kouame
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moise Kouame
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moise Kouame 1480 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1531
| Moise Kouame | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (rating 1480 vs 1531).
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Moise Kouame | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.6 | 13.3-12 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 52% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 48% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moise Kouame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 21/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jakub Paul Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Jie Cui Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moise Kouame vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 56% to Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.