Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 16/10, 18:30
Prediction: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Hugo Gaston · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Gaston
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Gaston
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hugo Gaston
1–2
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
(3 last)
- 12 Aug1-2 12-15L
- 10 Oct2-1 15-11W
- 23 Sept0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Gaston 1540 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1566
| Hugo Gaston | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Hugo Gaston 1–2 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (3).
Statistics
| Hugo Gaston | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.3 | 14.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 51% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 49% · 1.80
H2H · Hugo Gaston 1 – 2 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hugo Gaston 1–2 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/26 ATP Cincinnati | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/10/25 Challenger Roanne | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/09/25 Challenger Orleans | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Gaston
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniel Jade Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Liam Draxl ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Andrey Rublev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Colton Smith US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 26/08 | Andre Ilagan US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Guido Ivan Justo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Jakub Paul Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Jie Cui Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 50% to Hugo Gaston, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.