Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 16/10, 11:00
Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Mika Brunold
Team pages: Felix Balshaw · Mika Brunold
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Balshaw
Mika Brunold
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Balshaw
7-3 (W-L)
Mika Brunold
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1552 · Mika Brunold 1610
| Felix Balshaw | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Brunold (rating 1552 vs 1610).
- Note: Felix Balshaw makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Felix Balshaw | Mika Brunold | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.1 | 1.9-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-14.2 | 13-8.5 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.2% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 51% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 49% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Mika Brunold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Mika Brunold?
Our model gives 54% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.