Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 17/10, 23:30
Prediction: Theodore Dean vs Karl Kazuma Lee
Team pages: Theodore Dean · Karl Kazuma Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Theodore Dean
Karl Kazuma Lee
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Theodore Dean
3-7 (W-L)
Karl Kazuma Lee
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theodore Dean 1476 · Karl Kazuma Lee 1555
| Theodore Dean | Karl Kazuma Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karl Kazuma Lee (rating 1476 vs 1555).
- Karl Kazuma Lee dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 43.4% break avg.
- Karl Kazuma Lee is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Theodore Dean | Karl Kazuma Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.9 | 12-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theodore Dean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Luc Wieland M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Aadarsh Tripathi M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Stian Klaassen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Aidan Kim M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Karl Kazuma Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Nile Ung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Jack Anthrop M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Stefan Cooper M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Marco Alvarez M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Rudy Quan M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Cesar Cruz M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Matt Kuhar M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexander Petrov M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theodore Dean vs Karl Kazuma Lee?
Our model gives 50% to Theodore Dean, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.