Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 17/10, 09:00
Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Amr Asrawy
Team pages: Oskari Paldanius · Amr Asrawy
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Paldanius
Amr Asrawy
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Amr Asrawy
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1521 · Amr Asrawy 1585
| Oskari Paldanius | Amr Asrawy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amr Asrawy (rating 1521 vs 1585).
Statistics
| Oskari Paldanius | Amr Asrawy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.1 | 12.1-8 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Tymon Litwic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Igor Piasek M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Oscar Weightman M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Amr Asrawy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Kacper Knitter M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/10 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Zian Vanderstappen M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Paul Jubb M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Dzmitry Dziubailau M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Amr Asrawy?
Our model gives 55% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.