Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 25/10, 08:00
Prediction: Arda Azkara vs Oskari Paldanius
Team pages: Arda Azkara · Oskari Paldanius
Prediction summary
Winner
Arda Azkara
Oskari Paldanius
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Arda Azkara
7-3 (W-L)
Oskari Paldanius
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arda Azkara 1558 · Oskari Paldanius 1632
| Arda Azkara | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskari Paldanius (rating 1558 vs 1632).
- Arda Azkara dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 60.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Arda Azkara | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.5 | 12.2-7.5 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arda Azkara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Marek Gengel M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Pieter De Lange M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Rohan Mehra M15 Baku |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Thomas Drayton M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Turku |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Tymon Litwic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Igor Piasek M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arda Azkara vs Oskari Paldanius?
Our model gives 65% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.