Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 23/10, 09:00
Prediction: Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Oskari Paldanius
Team pages: Volodymyr Iakubenko · Oskari Paldanius
Prediction summary
Winner
Volodymyr Iakubenko
Oskari Paldanius
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Volodymyr Iakubenko
5-5 (W-L)
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Volodymyr Iakubenko 1520 · Oskari Paldanius 1572
| Volodymyr Iakubenko | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskari Paldanius (rating 1520 vs 1572).
Statistics
| Volodymyr Iakubenko | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.6 | 11.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 31.6% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Volodymyr Iakubenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Ruslan Tiukaev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Baku |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 01/10 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Marcus Walters M15 Baku |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Oskari Paldanius
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Tymon Litwic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Igor Piasek M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Volodymyr Iakubenko vs Oskari Paldanius?
Our model gives 68% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.