Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 24/10, 09:00
Prediction: Marek Gengel vs Arda Azkara
Team pages: Marek Gengel · Arda Azkara
Prediction summary
Winner
Marek Gengel
Arda Azkara
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Marek Gengel
6-4 (W-L)
Arda Azkara
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marek Gengel 1503 · Arda Azkara 1528
| Marek Gengel | Arda Azkara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marek Gengel | Arda Azkara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.5 | 12.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marek Gengel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Tudor Batin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Tomas Lanik M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 21/10 | Dominik Guzmicky M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 16/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Jeremy Schifris M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
Arda Azkara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Pieter De Lange M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/10 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Baku |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Rohan Mehra M15 Baku |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Thomas Drayton M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Turku |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marek Gengel vs Arda Azkara?
Our model gives 54% to Marek Gengel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.