Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 24/10, 09:00
Prediction: Oskari Paldanius vs Sergey Petrov
Team pages: Oskari Paldanius · Sergey Petrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Oskari Paldanius
Sergey Petrov
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oskari Paldanius
7-3 (W-L)
Sergey Petrov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Oskari Paldanius
1–0
Sergey Petrov
(1 last)
- 16 Oct2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oskari Paldanius 1598 · Sergey Petrov 1541
| Oskari Paldanius | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskari Paldanius (rating 1598 vs 1541).
- Head-to-head: Oskari Paldanius 1–0 Sergey Petrov (1).
Statistics
| Oskari Paldanius | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.5 | 10.6-7.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Oskari Paldanius 1 – 0 Sergey Petrov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oskari Paldanius 1–0 Sergey Petrov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 M15 Sharm El Sheikh | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oskari Paldanius
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Tymon Litwic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Igor Piasek M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Sergey Petrov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Marat Salbiev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/10 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Jorge Plans M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Paul Jubb M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Makar Elesin M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Thijs Boogaard M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oskari Paldanius vs Sergey Petrov?
Our model gives 64% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.