Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 16/10, 09:00
Prediction: Sergey Petrov vs Oskari Paldanius
Team pages: Sergey Petrov · Oskari Paldanius
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Petrov
Oskari Paldanius
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Petrov
7-3 (W-L)
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Petrov 1528 · Oskari Paldanius 1504
| Sergey Petrov | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Sergey Petrov dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 44% break avg.
- Note: Sergey Petrov makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Sergey Petrov | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.5 | 12-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 44% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Petrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Jorge Plans M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Paul Jubb M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Makar Elesin M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Thijs Boogaard M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Astana |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Saki Tange M15 Astana |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Tymon Litwic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Igor Piasek M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Oscar Weightman M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Petrov vs Oskari Paldanius?
Our model gives 56% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.