Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 16/10, 20:00
Prediction: Corey Craig vs Zach Stephens
Team pages: Corey Craig · Zach Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Corey Craig
Zach Stephens
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Corey Craig
6-4 (W-L)
Zach Stephens
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Corey Craig 1548 · Zach Stephens 1560
| Corey Craig | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Corey Craig | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.5 | 10.9-7.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 63.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Corey Craig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Walid Ahouda UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/10 | Robert Watzka UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | William Jansen M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Atakan Karahan M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Gianluca Carlini M15 Columbia |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Rocco Valente M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 05/07 | Sebastian Sec UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 04/07 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Zach Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Piotr Siekanowicz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Diego Herrera UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/09 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/09 | James Lorenzetti UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Rithvik Katpelly UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Corey Craig vs Zach Stephens?
Our model gives 63% to Corey Craig, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.