Tennis · M25 Austin · 15/10, 17:30

Prediction: Andrew Fenty vs Shunsuke Mitsui

Team pages: Andrew Fenty · Shunsuke Mitsui

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Andrew Fenty Shunsuke Mitsui
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Fenty 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWLW
Shunsuke Mitsui 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrew Fenty 1497 · Shunsuke Mitsui 1509
Andrew FentyShunsuke Mitsui
Our model48%52%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Andrew FentyShunsuke Mitsui
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.2-0.9
Games (G-P)10.6-10.79.4-8.3
Aces5.12.6
Double faults3.91.6
1st serve %67%63.3%
Break %38.8%51.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrew Fenty

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Michael Antonius
M25 Austin
2-0 12-7 W
30/09 Dylan Dietrich
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
29/09 Igor Marcondes
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
21/09 Erik Arutiunian
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/09 Kaylan Bigun
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
14/09 Ryan Seggerman
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
28/08 Luis Guto Miguel
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
26/08 Keshav Chopra
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Alvaro Guillen Meza
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
17/08 Evan Zhu
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Shunsuke Mitsui

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Mitchell Krueger
M25 Austin
2-0 13-7 W
28/09 Oliver Okonkwo
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
27/09 Ryan Colby
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
20/09 Ozan Baris
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
04/09 Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu
0-2 6-12 L
03/09 Noritaka Koizumi
M25 Urayasu
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 Shunsuke Nakagawa
M25 Urayasu
2-0 12-6 W
22/08 Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
21/08 Tung-Lin Wu
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-1 12-12 W
21/08 Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrew Fenty vs Shunsuke Mitsui?

Our model gives 51% to Andrew Fenty, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.