Tennis · M25 Austin · 18/10, 19:00
Prediction: Alastair Gray vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Team pages: Alastair Gray · Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Prediction summary
Winner
Alastair Gray
Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alastair Gray
4-6 (W-L)
Cosme Rolland De Ravel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alastair Gray 1478 · Cosme Rolland De Ravel 1568
| Alastair Gray | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cosme Rolland De Ravel (rating 1478 vs 1568).
- Note: Alastair Gray makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alastair Gray | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-13 | 10.4-8.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alastair Gray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Li Tu M25 Austin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Spencer Johnson M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 16/10 | Benjamin Willwerth M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Mason Vaughan M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Raphael Perot M25 Austin |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Hiroki Sakagawa M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Antonin Witz M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 23/09 | Max Sheldon M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jack Loge M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Tim Hohmann M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alastair Gray vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel?
Our model gives 54% to Cosme Rolland De Ravel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.