Tennis · M25 Austin · 17/10, 22:00
Prediction: Alastair Gray vs Dominick Mosejczuk
Team pages: Alastair Gray · Dominick Mosejczuk
Prediction summary
Winner
Alastair Gray
Dominick Mosejczuk
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alastair Gray
3-7 (W-L)
Dominick Mosejczuk
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alastair Gray 1453 · Dominick Mosejczuk 1620
| Alastair Gray | Dominick Mosejczuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominick Mosejczuk (rating 1453 vs 1620).
- Dominick Mosejczuk is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alastair Gray | Dominick Mosejczuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.5 | 12.4-8 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alastair Gray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Li Tu M25 Austin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Spencer Johnson M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 31/08 | Maximus Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Dominick Mosejczuk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Iker Urribarrens M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Shu Matsuoka M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Jonah Braswell M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/10 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Iiro Vasa M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alastair Gray vs Dominick Mosejczuk?
Our model gives 56% to Dominick Mosejczuk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.