Tennis · M25 Austin · 15/10, 17:00
Prediction: Iker Urribarrens vs Karl Poling
Team pages: Iker Urribarrens · Karl Poling
Prediction summary
Winner
Iker Urribarrens
Karl Poling
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Iker Urribarrens
8-2 (W-L)
Karl Poling
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iker Urribarrens 1531 · Karl Poling 1452
| Iker Urribarrens | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iker Urribarrens (rating 1531 vs 1452).
- Note: Iker Urribarrens makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Iker Urribarrens | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.9 | 13.4-13.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iker Urribarrens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Jonah Braswell M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Thomas Kennedy UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/08 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Nicholas Patrick UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Dani Szabo UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Joseph Phillips UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Kayden Colombo UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Yoshka Sborowsky UTR Pro Auburn · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 21/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Nikola Slavic Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iker Urribarrens vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 57% to Karl Poling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.