Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 15/10, 10:30
Prediction: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Sergey Petrov
Team pages: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · Sergey Petrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Sergey Petrov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
4-6 (W-L)
Sergey Petrov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine 1441 · Sergey Petrov 1523
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergey Petrov (rating 1441 vs 1523).
- Sergey Petrov is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sergey Petrov makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.3 | 10.9-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jan Wygona M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Benjamin O'Connell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Sergey Petrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jorge Plans M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Paul Jubb M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Millen Hurrion M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Makar Elesin M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Thijs Boogaard M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Astana |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Astana |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Saki Tange M15 Astana |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Sergey Petrov?
Our model gives 52% to Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.