Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 15/10, 09:00
Prediction: Amr Asrawy vs Kacper Knitter
Team pages: Amr Asrawy · Kacper Knitter
Prediction summary
Winner
Amr Asrawy
Kacper Knitter
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Amr Asrawy
4-6 (W-L)
Kacper Knitter
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amr Asrawy 1545 · Kacper Knitter 1453
| Amr Asrawy | Kacper Knitter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amr Asrawy (rating 1545 vs 1453).
- Amr Asrawy is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Amr Asrawy makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Amr Asrawy | Kacper Knitter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.5 | 9.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amr Asrawy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/10 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Zian Vanderstappen M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Paul Jubb M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Dzmitry Dziubailau M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Lorusso M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Chirag Duhan M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Kacper Knitter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Vladislav Melnic M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Calvin Mueller M15 Szczawno |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Leyton Rivera M15 Szczawno |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Niklas Guttau M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Mate Valkusz M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Yassine Smiej M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Noel Larwig M15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Massimo Pizzigoni M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Marcel Zielinski Polish National Championships |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amr Asrawy vs Kacper Knitter?
Our model gives 74% to Amr Asrawy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.