Tennis · Challenger Roanne · 15/10, 10:00
Prediction: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Otto Virtanen
Team pages: Dominic Stephan Stricker · Otto Virtanen
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominic Stephan Stricker
Otto Virtanen
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dominic Stephan Stricker
7-3 (W-L)
Otto Virtanen
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dominic Stephan Stricker
0–2
Otto Virtanen
(2 last)
- 11 Mar1-2 10-18L
- 04 Nov0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominic Stephan Stricker 1535 · Otto Virtanen 1505
| Dominic Stephan Stricker | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 12.1 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Dominic Stephan Stricker 0–2 Otto Virtanen (2).
- Note: Otto Virtanen makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Dominic Stephan Stricker | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.5 | 14-13 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 12.1 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 44.2% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 51% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 49% · 1.83
H2H · Dominic Stephan Stricker 0 – 2 Otto Virtanen (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dominic Stephan Stricker 0–2 Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/23 Challenger Lugano | 1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 04/11/22 Challenger Bergamo | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominic Stephan Stricker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Marko Topo Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Liam Broady Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/09 | Joao Fonseca Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Martin Krumich Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Otto Virtanen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Remy Bertola Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Valentin Vacherot Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Lucas Catarina Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Andrey Rublev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-31 | L |
| 26/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Ugo Blanchet US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Otto Virtanen?
Our model gives 51% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.