Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 15/10, 05:30
Prediction: Yaroslav Demin vs Matthew Dellavedova
Team pages: Yaroslav Demin · Matthew Dellavedova
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaroslav Demin
Matthew Dellavedova
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yaroslav Demin
5-5 (W-L)
Matthew Dellavedova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yaroslav Demin
0–1
Matthew Dellavedova
(1 last)
- 13 Oct1-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaroslav Demin 1523 · Matthew Dellavedova 1588
| Yaroslav Demin | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1523 vs 1588).
- Head-to-head: Yaroslav Demin 0–1 Matthew Dellavedova (1).
Statistics
| Yaroslav Demin | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.5 | 10.6-6.5 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 72% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 65.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
H2H · Yaroslav Demin 0 – 1 Matthew Dellavedova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yaroslav Demin 0–1 Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/24 M15 Pontevedra | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Filip Peliwo M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Jack Loge M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yassine Smiej M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Pablo Aunion M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Kaigaoge Kang M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Mert Alkaya M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 09/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Jordan Chiu M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Zhao Zhao M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaroslav Demin vs Matthew Dellavedova?
Our model gives 66% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.