Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 17/10, 05:30
Prediction: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Matthew Dellavedova
Team pages: Egor Pleshivtsev · Matthew Dellavedova
Prediction summary
Winner
Egor Pleshivtsev
Matthew Dellavedova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Egor Pleshivtsev
5-5 (W-L)
Matthew Dellavedova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Egor Pleshivtsev
0–1
Matthew Dellavedova
(1 last)
- 28 Mar0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Egor Pleshivtsev 1546 · Matthew Dellavedova 1586
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1546 vs 1586).
- Head-to-head: Egor Pleshivtsev 0–1 Matthew Dellavedova (1).
Statistics
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.6 | 12-7.6 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 61.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Egor Pleshivtsev 0 – 1 Matthew Dellavedova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Egor Pleshivtsev 0–1 Matthew Dellavedova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 M15 Maanshan | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Egor Pleshivtsev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Ye Hongyu M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Evan Zhu M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Yua Taka M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Arthur Laborde M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Davit Zogranian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Lawrence Bataljin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Matthew Dellavedova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Arthur Weber M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Kaigaoge Kang M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Mert Alkaya M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 09/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Jordan Chiu M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Zhao Zhao M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Fajing Sun ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Egor Pleshivtsev vs Matthew Dellavedova?
Our model gives 66% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.