Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 16/10, 04:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Yusuke Takahashi
Team pages: Sergey Fomin · Yusuke Takahashi
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Fomin
Yusuke Takahashi
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Fomin
6-4 (W-L)
Yusuke Takahashi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sergey Fomin
0–1
Yusuke Takahashi
(1 last)
- 20 Oct1-2 15-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1440 · Yusuke Takahashi 1507
| Sergey Fomin | Yusuke Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yusuke Takahashi (rating 1440 vs 1507).
- Head-to-head: Sergey Fomin 0–1 Yusuke Takahashi (1).
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Yusuke Takahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.8 | 11.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Sergey Fomin 0 – 1 Yusuke Takahashi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sergey Fomin 0–1 Yusuke Takahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/25 Challenger Suzhou | 1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Matthew Shearer M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Dominik Palan M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Yusuke Takahashi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 13/10 | Maksim Shin M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Yusuke Takahashi?
Our model gives 53% to Sergey Fomin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.