Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 17/10, 05:30
Prediction: Martin Borisiouk vs Sergey Fomin
Team pages: Martin Borisiouk · Sergey Fomin
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Borisiouk
Sergey Fomin
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Borisiouk
6-4 (W-L)
Sergey Fomin
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martin Borisiouk
1–0
Sergey Fomin
(1 last)
- 07 Jul2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Borisiouk 1538 · Sergey Fomin 1450
| Martin Borisiouk | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Borisiouk (rating 1538 vs 1450).
- Martin Borisiouk dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 41.8% break avg.
- Martin Borisiouk is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Martin Borisiouk 1–0 Sergey Fomin (1).
Statistics
| Martin Borisiouk | Sergey Fomin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.1 | 10.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Martin Borisiouk 1 – 0 Sergey Fomin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martin Borisiouk 1–0 Sergey Fomin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/24 ITF M15 Ust-Kamenogorsk | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Borisiouk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/10 | Anthony Susanto M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Lingxi Zhao M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/10 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Sergey Fomin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Matthew Shearer M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Dominik Palan M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Borisiouk vs Sergey Fomin?
Our model gives 58% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.