Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 16/10, 04:00
Prediction: Martin Borisiouk vs Kristjan Tamm
Team pages: Martin Borisiouk · Kristjan Tamm
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Borisiouk
Kristjan Tamm
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Borisiouk
7-3 (W-L)
Kristjan Tamm
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martin Borisiouk
1–0
Kristjan Tamm
(1 last)
- 05 Oct2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Borisiouk 1554 · Kristjan Tamm 1510
| Martin Borisiouk | Kristjan Tamm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Borisiouk (rating 1554 vs 1510).
- Martin Borisiouk dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 42.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Martin Borisiouk 1–0 Kristjan Tamm (1).
Statistics
| Martin Borisiouk | Kristjan Tamm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.3 | 11.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Martin Borisiouk 1 – 0 Kristjan Tamm (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martin Borisiouk 1–0 Kristjan Tamm
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/26 Challenger Wuning | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Borisiouk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Anthony Susanto M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Lingxi Zhao M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/10 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Dominik Palan Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Kristjan Tamm
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Anton Shepp M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Xing Dao Chen M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Yue Xia M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zak Talic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Reiya Komagata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 28/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Borisiouk vs Kristjan Tamm?
Our model gives 67% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.