Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 15/10, 05:30
Prediction: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ye Hongyu
Team pages: Egor Pleshivtsev · Ye Hongyu
Prediction summary
Winner
Egor Pleshivtsev
Ye Hongyu
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Egor Pleshivtsev
3-7 (W-L)
Ye Hongyu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Egor Pleshivtsev 1512 · Ye Hongyu 1456
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Ye Hongyu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Egor Pleshivtsev (rating 1512 vs 1456).
Statistics
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Ye Hongyu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.6 | 8.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 61% |
| Break % | 37% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Egor Pleshivtsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Evan Zhu M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Yua Taka M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Arthur Laborde M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Davit Zogranian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Lawrence Bataljin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Ye Hongyu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Tsung-Hao Huang M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Corban Crowther M25 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Matvey Greschner M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Uisung Park M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Wenze Li M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Xiaofei Wang M25 Anning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ye Hongyu?
Our model gives 74% to Egor Pleshivtsev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.