Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 15/10, 04:00
Prediction: Yusuke Takahashi vs Jamie Mackenzie
Team pages: Yusuke Takahashi · Jamie Mackenzie
Prediction summary
Winner
Yusuke Takahashi
Jamie Mackenzie
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yusuke Takahashi
6-4 (W-L)
Jamie Mackenzie
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yusuke Takahashi 1477 · Jamie Mackenzie 1520
| Yusuke Takahashi | Jamie Mackenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jamie Mackenzie (rating 1477 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Yusuke Takahashi | Jamie Mackenzie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.8 | 12-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yusuke Takahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Maksim Shin M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Chase Ferguson M25 Urayasu |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/08 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Jamie Mackenzie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Corban Crowther M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Tomas Farjat M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yusuke Takahashi vs Jamie Mackenzie?
Our model gives 63% to Jamie Mackenzie, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.