Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 15/10, 04:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Matthew Shearer
Team pages: Sergey Fomin · Matthew Shearer
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergey Fomin
Matthew Shearer
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sergey Fomin
6-4 (W-L)
Matthew Shearer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1437 · Matthew Shearer 1504
| Sergey Fomin | Matthew Shearer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Shearer (rating 1437 vs 1504).
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Matthew Shearer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.7 | 11-10.3 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Dominik Palan M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Matthew Shearer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Weiyi Kong M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Yua Taka M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Shanghui Li M25 Yinchuan |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 16/09 | Zhenxiong Dong M25 Guiyang |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Yaoyu Yang M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Jack Bruce-Smith M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Kareem Abdul Hakim M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Stefan Storch M15 Bali |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Andras Necz M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Matthew Shearer?
Our model gives 66% to Sergey Fomin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.