Tennis · M25 Qian Daohu · 15/10, 04:00
Prediction: Kristjan Tamm vs Anton Shepp
Team pages: Kristjan Tamm · Anton Shepp
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristjan Tamm
Anton Shepp
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kristjan Tamm
6-4 (W-L)
Anton Shepp
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristjan Tamm 1516 · Anton Shepp 1482
| Kristjan Tamm | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kristjan Tamm dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 43.7% break avg.
- Anton Shepp dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 48.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Kristjan Tamm | Anton Shepp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 9.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristjan Tamm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Xing Dao Chen M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Yue Xia M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Dong Ju Kim Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Zak Talic M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Reiya Komagata M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 28/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Arthur Weber M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Anton Shepp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Zichen Shao M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Lingxi Zhao M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Sho Shimabukuro Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Rei Sakamoto Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Nathan Anthony Barki M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Hitesh Chauhan M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristjan Tamm vs Anton Shepp?
Our model gives 63% to Anton Shepp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.