Tennis · M25 Austin · 14/10, 18:30
Prediction: Mason Vaughan vs Abel Forger
Team pages: Abel Forger
Prediction summary
Winner
Mason Vaughan
Abel Forger
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mason Vaughan
4-6 (W-L)
Abel Forger
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mason Vaughan 1414 · Abel Forger 1527
| Mason Vaughan | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Abel Forger (rating 1414 vs 1527).
- Abel Forger is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mason Vaughan makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Abel Forger makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Mason Vaughan | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-13.2 | 10.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 0 | 3 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 100% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mason Vaughan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02 | Gabriel Porras UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 12/02 | James Quattro UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 11/02 | Manuel Sanchez UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/02 | Noey Do UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/01 | Daniil Kakhniuk UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Adam Bain UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/12 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/12 | JP Day UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/12 | Joao Goncalves UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Keenan Mayo ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Abel Forger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | James Quattro M25 Austin |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Raphael Perot M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Eupen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniel Verbeek M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mason Vaughan vs Abel Forger?
Our model gives 76% to Abel Forger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.